Vice President Kamala Harris is favored to win four critical swing states against former President Donald Trump , according to Nate Silver ‘s presidential model.
With the presidential election a month-and-a-half away, Harris, the Democratic nominee, has over a 50 percent chance of winning Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Nevada, Silver currently predicts.
Swing state polls are more likely to give a better glimpse into what November’s election results will look like since national polls essentially show the popular vote, which does not guarantee a win. Since U.S. presidents are chosen based on the Electoral College system, Harris or Trump, the GOP’s nominee, will need the help of swing states, or states in which the electorate is more mixed in terms of which political party they voted for in the past, to get to at least 270 electoral votes, which is needed to win the presidency…