UNH researchers find rural votes could tip swing states

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Jason Moon / NHPR A voting sign in Lebanon, NH, in 2018.

Researchers at the University of New Hampshire have found that rural votes can make or break presidential elections.

Kenneth Johnson co-authored a study with UNH Professor Dante Scala, looking at what would happen if Democratic candidates won or lost just 3% of rural votes across various swing states. They found that states like Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin could tip favorably toward either party by a small margin in those rural areas.

“Our point is just that you can’t ignore rural America,” Johnson said. “That rural America is still relevant even though it represents a small part of the vote.”…

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