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- Changed rules for Ukraine mean its F-16s will arrive when they can make a far bigger impact, experts say (newsbreak.com)
A US Air Force firepower demonstration showcases an F-16C Fighting Falcon. (Photo Courtesy of Ethan Miller/Getty Images)
Ukraine’s deployment of F-16 fighter jets is anticipated to significantly shape the conflict dynamics, thanks especially to new permissions granted by its allies allowing strikes on Russian territories. Military experts highlight the strategic advantage this presents in neutralizing Russian air defenses.
The impending arrival of these US-manufactured aircraft marks a pivotal moment, according to statements provided to Business Insider. With allies loosening restrictions on the use of their supplied weaponry for attacks within Russia, Ukraine’s military capabilities are notably enhanced.
George Barros from the Institute for the Study of War, specializing in the Russian military, has shifted his outlook on the addition of F-16s to Ukraine’s arsenal from skepticism to optimism. Initially, concerns revolved around Russia’s formidable air force and defense infrastructure, but the new operational flexibility granted to Ukraine has significantly altered the tactical landscape.
Until recent developments in May, Ukraine faced constraints that prevented the use of ally-supplied weapons for cross-border strikes, allowing Russia to mobilize forces and launch attacks from protected positions. This change is seen as leveling the playing field, according to Barros and other analysts.
Peter Layton of the Griffith Asia Institute, with a background in the Royal Australian Air Force, notes the strategic necessity of disabling Russian air defenses for the F-16s’ success.
Though Ukraine is expected to receive a limited number of F-16 jets initially, the potential for a “large effect” over time is anticipated, with further easing of restrictions by the US seen as beneficial. However, limitations on using long-range munitions for deeper strikes within Russia remain.
Ukraine’s resilience despite facing equipment and ammunition shortages earlier in the year has been bolstered by resumed US aid in April. This support is crucial as Ukraine prepares to integrate the first batch of F-16s, amidst discussions on the need for more jets to effectively counter Russian forces.
Experts argue the delay in deploying F-16s may have hindered Ukraine’s defense capabilities, emphasizing the importance of timely support. While a total of 85 jets have been pledged by Denmark, the Netherlands, Norway, and Belgium, immediate effect may be limited due to numbers.
The F-16s, while not singularly transformative, are expected to play a critical role in reinforcing Ukraine’s military posture, deterring Russian aircraft, and enhancing air defense capabilities.
(Original reporting by Business Insider)